Europe has 16 spots in the 2026 World Cup. 12 of those spots will go to the winners of the 12 qualifying groups. The remaining 4 spots will be decided via play-offs.
Play-off Format
The play-offs involve the 12 group runners-up + 4 best-ranked group winners from the 2024/25 UEFA Nations League who did not finish 1st or 2nd in their qualifying group. These 16 teams will be divided into 4 paths, each path having a semi-final and a final. The winner of each path qualifies.
According to recent analysis, Key Teams to Watch (Based on Current Standings & Scenario)
Group B: Switzerland can qualify directly if they avoid a heavy defeat, while Kosovo is already guaranteed at least a play-off spot.
Group C: Denmark may directly qualify; Scotland could also fight for a play-off spot.
Group E: Spain is in a strong position, but Turkey is also in contention for a play-off.
Group F: Portugal, Hungary, and Republic of Ireland all have possible routes — Portugal could qualify directly, while the others could reach the play-offs under certain results.
Group G: Netherlands are very likely to qualify; Poland is aiming for direct qualification but is also a strong candidate for a play-off.
Group H: Austria could top their group and qualify directly.
European Qualifyng round table.
Group I: Norway might reach their first World Cup in decades, while Italy is likely to enter the play-off.
Group J: Belgium needs a win or favorable other results to qualify; Wales is also in the running for a play-off spot.
Group K: England have already secured their place.
Group L: Croatia has already qualified, and Czech Republic is a strong play-off candidate.
With 16 European teams qualifying, competition is tight, especially for play-off spots. Nations League performance is crucial — being a top team there can provide a second chance via play-offs. Some smaller football nations, like Kosovo, could make historic progress if they secure a play-off place.
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